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Home » Authors » Russell Knight

Russell Knight

Senior Beef Outlook Economist / USDA – ERS
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Articles

ARTICLES

Drought continues to impact timing of future marketings

October 31, 2022
Hannah Brooks and Russell Knight

The U.S. beef sector continues to see drought conditions impacting the movement and timing of cattle placement in feedlots, as well as the number of beef cows culled, which will likely continue into early 2023.


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Beef cow cull rates remain elevated

September 27, 2022
Hannah Brooks and Russell Knight

Drought and pasture conditions have improved from the previous month, but the situation is still very poor compared to last year and previous years. 


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Higher fed cattle marketings to lift 2023 production

September 23, 2022
Hannah Brooks and Russell Knight

Month after month this year, feedlots have maintained large numbers of cattle on feed relative to history as more calves are being pushed into feedlots at a quicker-than-normal pace due to the drought impact on forage availability.


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NASS Cattle report shows herd contracting

August 29, 2022
Hannah Brooks and Russell Knight

On July 22, the USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) released the midyear Cattle report. It provided a snapshot of the U.S. cattle herd, which includes both beef and dairy cattle as well as a glimpse into producers’ outlook for retaining heifers and the availability of cattle for placement in the coming year.


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Temporal shifts in slaughter more than offset lower weights

August 25, 2022
Hannah Brooks and Russell Knight

At the close of the year’s second quarter, beef cattle producers continue to cull a large portion of their breeding herds, as shown in Figure 1 of weekly volumes of federally inspected beef cow slaughter for the previous three years.


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Drought conditions pull cattle forward in 2022; limited cattle supplies draw down 2023 production

June 24, 2022
Hannah Brooks and Russell Knight
Drought is playing a significant role in the cattle cycle. Two years of drought have deteriorated pasture and forage conditions, and the pastureland condition index for 2022 is off to its worst start for the grazing season since the series began in 1995 (Figure 1).
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Cow and bull slaughter in first-quarter 2022 at highest level in decades

May 24, 2022
Hannah Brooks and Russell Knight
In the first quarter of 2022, federally inspected (FI) nonfed cattle slaughter reached volumes not seen since the mid-1980s, based on USDA Agricultural Marketing Service (AMS) estimated and actual weekly slaughter data through the week ending April 2, 2022.
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Beef production continues to be down in 2022

April 25, 2022
Hannah Brooks, Christopher G. Davis, and Russell Knight
For March 2022, the annual forecast for commercial beef production was raised 195 million pounds to 27.57 billion pounds from the previous month, on stronger expected non-fed and fed cattle slaughter.
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U.S. cattle inventory down fractionally

March 23, 2022
Hannah Brooks, Christopher G. Davis, and Russell Knight
In the USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) semiannual Cattle report released on Jan. 31, the total number of cattle and calves on Jan. 1, 2022, was estimated at 91.902 million head – 2%, or nearly 1.888 million head lower than the previous year.
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Cow and bull slaughter and dressed weights lift production forecast

February 24, 2022
Hannah Brooks, Christopher G. Davis, and Russell Knight
Beef production in 2021 is expected to total 27.95 billion pounds, up 55 million pounds from the previous month’s forecast. This increase is driven by a more rapid pace of cow and bull slaughter as well as by heavier cattle dressed weights.
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View All Articles by Russell Knight
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